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Psychosomatic Medicine 61:1-5 (1999)
© 1999 American Psychosomatic Society


EDITORIAL

Wanted: Hypothesis Testing in Alternative Medicine

Joel E. Dimsdale, MD

Department of Psychiatry, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, Ca 92093-0804

Amygdalae have been firing all across the United States during the great "alternative medicine" fights. Note that I did not state ‘debates’ because that civilized discourse has been relatively missing on this topic. Instead, the arguments resemble the same degree of dispassionate, honest search for truth as has been displayed of late in Los Angeles courtrooms.

Advocates for alternative medicine argue that "traditional" medicine demeans patients and fails to treat chronic disease. They argue for a variety of alternatives, complements, or holistic remedies to traditional medicine. On the other side, opponents of alternative medicine argue that the field is filled with crackpots who deceive and defraud patients and wreak havoc by resorting to unscientific treatments.

With these kinds of opening premises, it is difficult to find a neutral ground for discussion. Perhaps if we turned back the clock to the time of James IV, King of Scotland from 1488 to 1513, and considered the fate of his alchemist John Damian, it might remind us that hypotheses are more valuable than indictments.

In the time of James IV, alchemy featured a curious blend of philosophy, mysticism, chemistry, and, on occasion, thievery (1). Part of the problem with the current controversy about alternative medicine is that medicine, like alchemy, consists of a blend of distinctly different ingredients—science and caring. Finding the right proportion of ingredients is crucial for forging a strong alloy, as the alchemists knew centuries ago and that search for the right balance of science and caring is the basis for some of the most vehement arguments between supporters of traditional and alternative medicine. Whereas the caring side of contemporary traditional medicine has always been crucial, increasingly it has been shadowed by medicine’s enormous scientific strides. In many ways, alternative medicine is the mirror image of traditional medicine—strong on caring and weak on science. The impassioned fights about alternative medicine would be unnecessary if one tested its claims empirically. Unfortunately, what is in short supply on both sides is a dispassionate examination of the efficacy of alternative medicine. If an odd intervention works, we need to understand why it works, rather than criticize it for doctrinal heresy (remember Galileo, after all). We REALLY could use some hypothesis testing as opposed to diatribes. Mind you, the hypotheses do not have to be confirmed; it would be sufficient to test them. Much can be learned from failed hypotheses.

The value of hypothesis testing was clear even in the time of James IV. He sponsored John Damian, a shadowy alchemist who tried to make gold (2). Despite royal backing and encouragement, Damian failed, and James IV became increasingly testy with the alchemist. As a result, Damian felt it necessary to rehabilitate himself by publicly demonstrating his abilities. He told the King he would invent functioning wings and fly away to France. High on the battlements of Stirling Castle, Damian strapped on his wings, paused to savor the wind in his face, and jumped—plummeting to the ground far below and fracturing his leg (3). The King made his way along the battlements, through the courtyard, and down the hill to where Damian lay (it is a long way down, as any Stirling Castle visitor can testify). As James hectored his alchemist for failing yet again, Damian replied that he miscalculated the lift necessary in his wing design. He told the King that he had mistakenly relied on feathers from barnyard hens, but he was sure that his plan would have worked if he had relied on the royal feathers of an eagle (3). Not a bad rejoinder, given that he had failed miserably, fallen 100 feet, and suffered a broken leg.

Damian had a hypothesis and the courage to test it. He was not a total fraud. It is true that he was not particularly "successful," but his hypothesis was testable. He had the wing design all wrong, but he had the courage to test it, and to test it very visibly in a location that for centuries has shimmered over the Scottish countryside. The photographer J. Craig Annan captures the spectral quality of light and darkness, of the heights and fields around Stirling Castle in his classic photograph published in 1907 (see Figure). Anyone willing to strap on wings of chicken feathers and jump off those ramparts was not a humbug.



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Fast forwarding to the twilight years of the 20th century, we find ourselves watching the battles over alternative medicine, wishing that the protagonists would remember that hypotheses are important. Perhaps they do not have to be "successful hypotheses" in the sense of supporting one’s beliefs, but they must be "testable." What is unacceptable is the profusion of Maoist slogans like "alternative medicine practitioners are duplicitous scoundrels" or "traditional medicine is a failure, and alternative medicine is salvation." No one whose IQ is higher than his body temperature would claim that traditional medicine and our current healthcare system provide optimal care. Similarly, anyone who claims that herbs and the laying-on of hands are cure-alls would not be the sharpest knife in the drawer. The solution is to test hypotheses, and if there is no hypothesis being tested, to acknowledge that one has "belief," not "science." Patients do not need slogans; they need caring, effective treatments.

APPENDIX

Reviewers for Psychosomatic Medicine
The Editor acknowledges with appreciation the efforts of the following colleagues who reviewed manuscripts for this Journal from October 1, 1997, to September 30, 1998.

Susan Abbey

Gene G. Abel

James L. Abelson

Walid M. Abi-Saab

Henry D. Abraham

Sigurd Ackerman

Sally H. Adams

Robert Ader

Nancy Adler

Perry Adler

Rolf Adler

W. Stewart Agras

David F. Alexander

Michael Allen

Bruce S. Alpert

Carol L. Alter

Sonia Ancoli-Israel

David E. Anderson

Erling A. Anderson

Norman Anderson

Roger Anderson

Michael Andrykowski

Jules Angst

Hymie Anisman

Ad A. Appels

Lesley M. Arnold

Gordon J.G. Asmundson

J. Hampton Atkinson

Marilyn C. Augustyn

Frank J. Ayd

R. Michael Bagby

Donald Bakal

Brian Baker

Rudy E. Ballieux

John Bancroft

John C. Barefoot

Steven D. Barger

Christopher J. Barnard

Elizabeth Barrett-Connor

Stuart H. Bartle

Barbara Bartlik

Marco Battaglia

Russell Bauer

Andrew Baum

David Bear

Diane M. Becker

Lewis Becker

Jean Beckham

Iris Bell

Charles Benight

Robert Benschop

David Benton

Ivan Berczi

Howard Berenbaum

Isidore L. Berenbaum

Lisa F. Berkman

Charles C. Berry

Niels Birbaumer

Edward O. Bixler

Dan Blazer

Susan Block

Joan R. Bloom

James A. Blumenthal

Richard C. Boland

Michael H. Bonnet

Sarah W. Book

Jan Born

Jos A. Bosch

Dana Bovbjerg

W. Thomas Boyce

Gregory Boyle

Tom N. Bradbury

John Paul Brady

David L. Braff

Henk S. Brand

William Breitbart

David H. Broide

Jos F. Brosschot

Claus Buddeberg

Gunilla K. Burell

David M. Burns

John Burns

Angelika Buske-Kirschbaum

Michael P. Caligiuri

Oliver Cameron

John P. Capitanio

Donald Carek

Michael P. Carey

Robert M. Carney

Eugene J. Carragee

Victor Carrion

Charles Cartwright

Charles Carver

Pietro Castelnuovo-Tedesco

Stephanie Cavanaugh

David Cave

David F. Cella

J. Edmond Charlton

Edith Chen

Margaret Chesney

Nicholas Christenfeld

Alan Christensen

Donald S. Ciccone

Alice M. Clark

W. Crawford Clark

Sean Clarke

William L. Clarke

Jack L. Clausen

Daniel J. Clauw

Christopher Coe

Frances Cohen

Lewis M. Cohen

Mary Ann Adler Cohen

Nicholas Cohen

Sheldon Cohen

George Cohn

Eduardo A. Colon

Bruce E. Compas

Richard Contrada

Jody Corey-Bloom

Paul T. Costa, Jr.

Daniel J. Cox

James Coyne

John W. Crayton

Francis Creed

Michael H. Criqui

Catherine C. Crone

Michael D. Crowell

Jeffrey L. Cummings

W. Grant Dahlstrom

Mary B. Daly

Denis F. Darko

Charles S. Davis

John M. Davis

Mary Davis

William W. Deardorff

Alan Delamater

Edward DeMet

Johan Denollet

Leonard R. Derogatis

Hans-Christian Deter

Mary Amanda Dew

Firdaus S. Dhabhar

Blaine Ditto

Patricia L. Dobkin

Lawrence M. Dolan

Joel M. Dopp

Lorah D. Dorn

Gerhard Dotevall

William Dressler

Douglas A. Drossman

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Lynn Durel

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Ilana Eli

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George Ellsworth

Charles Emery

Karen Emmons

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Bernard T. Engel

JoAnne Epping-Jordan

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Steven A. Epstein

Milton Erman

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Richard Evans

Susan Everson

Ann Maxwell Eward

Craig K. Ewart

Pam Factor-Litvak

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Bonita Falkner

Sherry Falsetti

Eugene Farber

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Armando R. Favazza

Fawzy I. Fawzy

Mark N. Feinglos

Francisco Fernandez

Marcello Ferrada-Noli

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Douglas H. Finestone

Per Fink

Jerry B. Finkel

Michael First

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Edwin B. Fisher

Charles F. Flaherty

Joseph Flaherty

Mary Ann Fletcher

Kathleen M. Foley

David G. Folks

Charles V. Ford

Alfred Franger

Nancy Frasure-Smith

Lennart Fredstorp

Kenneth Freedland

Robert Freedman

Arthur Freeman

Ellen Freeman

Stephen R. Freidberg

Davina French

Douglas French

Gregory Fricchione

Richard G. Fried

Rollin M. Gallagher

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David M. Garner

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Marc D. Gellman

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Gail Germain

Frederick X. Gibbons

Mary Gick

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Ronald Glaser

Virginia L. Goetsch

Richard J. Goldberg

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Beatrice Golomb

Jeffrey Goodie

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Paul Goodnick

Igor Grant

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E.M. Hay

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Cobi J. Heijnen

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Robert R. Henry

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David B. Herzog

Ellen Heyneman

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Rudolf Hoehn-Saric

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Stefan Hofmann

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Mardi J. Horowitz

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Thomas R. Insel

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Jane Irvine

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Sue C. Jacobs

Paul B. Jacobsen

Alan Jacobson

Gary James

Jack E. James

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Sverker Jern

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Amnon Sonnenberg

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Robert Spitzer

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Phyllis K. Stein

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Esther Sternberg

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Michael E. Thase

Julian F. Thayer

Dale E. Theobald

Tores Theorell

Carl Thoresen

Georg Titscher

Brenda Toner

Timothy Toomey

Frank A. Treiber

Ming T. Tsuang

Gary J. Tucker

Johanna H.M. Tulen

Larry Tune

Bert Uchino

Elliot Udell

Thomas W. Uhde

Susan Urrows

Lorenz J.P. Van Doornen

Craig Van Dyke

Lawrence F. Van Egeren

A.J.J.M. Vingerhoets

Barbara R. Visscher

Peter Vitaliano

Harold J. Wain

Edward Walker

Anne M. Wallace

David A. Waller

B. Timothy Walsh

J.M. Waterhouse

Lana Watkins

Michael Weber

Alan Weder

Gerdi Weidner

Douglas Weigent

Herbert Weiner

Lance Weinhardt

Michael Weisman

Simon Wessely

Sheila West

Peter D. White

William B. White

Wayne G. Whitehouse

Markus Wiegel

Charles Wilkinson

Redford B. Williams

Thomas Ashby Wills

John F. Wilson

Daniel Winstead

Thomas N. Wise

Catherine L. Woodman

Stephen C. Woods

Timothy Wysocki

Joel Yager

Kimberly A. Yonkers

Simon N.

Leonard S. Zegan

H. Zeier

Lonnie Zeltzer

Michael Ziegler

Sidney Zisook

Caron Zlotnick

Stephen J. Zyzanski

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We thank Professors Derek Johnston and Thomas Normand of St. Andrews University for the lead on the magnificent Annan photograph, which is reprinted with permission from the Royal Photographic Society of Bath. The Appendix to this editorial thanks those reviewers for Psychosomatic Medicine who have helped us test hypotheses regarding the numerous manuscripts submitted in the last year.

REFERENCES

  1. Read J. The Alchemist in life, literature and art. London: T. Nelson; 1947.
  2. Macdougall N. James IV. Edinburgh: John Donald Publishers, Ltd; 1989.
  3. Read J. Humour and humanism in chemistry. London: G Bell; 1947.



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